Baccarat Research

Pattern mythbusting · disproof-first
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Strategy leaderboard Sort by clicking any header · ranked by Bonferroni-corrected p-value × |effect|

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Methodology

Each strategy is run across the same set of independently dealt 8-deck shoes (strategies reset per shoe). Per-shoe outputs are aggregated into a paired bootstrap CI on stake-weighted ROI; the same shoe-index resample is applied across all strategies so the diff against the flat_banker baseline preserves cross-strategy correlation. Two-sided bootstrap p-values are corrected via Bonferroni and Benjamini-Hochberg across the N−1 non-baseline comparisons.

Verdicts apply a practical-significance threshold (0.10 percentage points): a p<0.01 result with effect below the threshold is labeled BUSTED, not CONFIRMED. The intent is to prevent large-N "statistically distinguishable but practically meaningless" effects from being honored as wins.